Infection of respiratory syncytial viruses (RSV) in the Czech Republic - analysis of hospitalizations and deaths in 2017-2022.

OBJECTIVES: Given the lack of data on the seriousness of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections in the Czech Republic, an analysis was made of available data on hospitalizations and the hospitalization risk was estimated by age group. METHODS: Data from the National Registry of Reimbursed Health Services and the National Registry of Hospitalizations were used for the analyses. Hospitalizations and deaths due to RSV infection (diagnoses J12.1, J20.5, J21.0) from 2017-2022 were analyzed by age group. RESULTS: Over the six-year period, there were 6,138 hospitalizations with the above diagnoses, ranging between years from 307 to 2,162. The estimated overall hospitalization risk per 100,000 population and year for diagnoses J12.1, J20.5, and J21.0 was 9.64, varying between 2.87 (2020) and 20.56 (2021). Age-group analysis showed the highest risk for children under 6 months of age (891.6/100,000 population and year) and the lowest for 20-34-year-olds (0.1/100,000 population and year). Children under 1 year of age accounted for 63.1% of hospitalizations with the above diagnoses. For patients 65 years and older, the annual hospitalization rates varied between 3.3-15.3%. The most frequent cause of RSV-associated hospitalizations was bronchitis, diagnosed in 55.4% of patients. Among those hospitalized with diagnoses J12.1, J20.5, and J21.0, 38 deaths were reported, representing a case fatality rate of 0.62%. The highest case fatality rate (6.5%) was observed in the age group 35-49 years. CONCLUSIONS: RSV-associated hospitalizations have been reported in all age groups in the Czech Republic. The highest RSV-associated hospitalization risk in 2017-2022 was estimated among children under 6 months of age. Passive surveillance using the available registries could currently provide the basis for measures specifically tailored to the youngest age categories. Data on the hospitalization of adults, particularly senior citizens, must be improved and complemented with active surveillance.

Clinical impact of healthcare-associated respiratory syncytial virus in hospitalized adults.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the clinical impact of healthcare-associated (HA) respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in hospitalized adults. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study within a prospective, population-based, surveillance study of RSV-infected hospitalized adults during 3 respiratory seasons: October 2017-April 2018, October 2018-April 2019, and October 2019-March 2020. SETTING: The study was conducted in 2 academically affiliated medical centers. PATIENTS: Each HA-RSV patient (in whom RSV was detected by PCR test ≥4 days after hospital admission) was matched (age, sex, season) with 2 community-onset (CO) RSV patients (in whom RSV was detected ≤3 days of admission). METHODS: Risk factors and outcomes were compared among HA-RSV versus CO-RSV patients using conditional logistic regression. Escalation of respiratory support associated with RSV detection (day 0) from day -2 to day +4 was explored among HA-RSV patients. RESULTS: In total, 84 HA-RSV patients were matched to 160 CO-RSV patients. In HA-RSV patients, chronic kidney disease was more common, while chronic respiratory conditions and obesity were less common. HA-RSV patients were not more likely to be admitted to an ICU or require mechanical ventilation, but they more often required a higher level of care at discharge compared with CO-RSV patients (44% vs 14%, respectively). Also, 29% of evaluable HA-RSV patients required respiratory support escalation; these patients were older and more likely to have respiratory comorbidities, to have been admitted to intensive care, and to die during hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: HA-RSV in adults may be associated with escalation in respiratory support and an increased level of support in living situation at discharge. Infection prevention and control strategies and RSV vaccination of high-risk adults could mitigate the risk of HA-RSV.

Infant deaths from respiratory syncytial virus in Lusaka, Zambia from the ZPRIME study: a 3-year, systematic, post-mortem surveillance project.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the leading cause of acute lower respiratory tract infections and a key driver of childhood mortality. Previous RSV burden of disease estimates used hospital-based surveillance data and modelled, rather than directly measured, community deaths. Given this uncertainty, we conducted a 3-year post-mortem prevalence study among young infants at a busy morgue in Lusaka, Zambia-the Zambia Pertussis RSV Infant Mortality Estimation (ZPRIME) study. METHODS: Infants were eligible for inclusion if they were aged between 4 days and less than 6 months and were enrolled within 48 h of death. Enrolment occurred mainly at the University Teaching Hospital of the University of Zambia Medical School (Lusaka, Zambia), the largest teaching hospital in Zambia. We extracted demographic and clinical data from medical charts and official death certificates, and we conducted verbal autopsies with the guardian or next of kin. RSV was identified using reverse transcriptase quantitative PCR and stratified by age, time of year, and setting (community vs facility deaths). By combining the PCR prevalence data with syndromic presentation, we estimated the proportion of all infant deaths that were due to RSV. FINDINGS: The ZPRIME study ran from Aug 31, 2017, to Aug 31, 2020, except for from April 1 to May 6, 2020, during which data were not collected due to restrictions on human research at this time (linked to COVID-19). We enrolled 2286 deceased infants, representing 79% of total infant deaths in Lusaka. RSV was detected in 162 (7%) of 2286 deceased infants. RSV was detected in 102 (9%) of 1176 community deaths, compared with 10 (4%) of 236 early facility deaths (<48 h from admission) and 36 (5%) of 737 late facility deaths (≥48 h from admission). RSV deaths were concentrated in infants younger than 3 months (116 [72%] of 162 infants), and were clustered in the first half of each year and in the poorest and most densely populated Lusaka townships. RSV caused at least 2·8% (95% CI 1·0-4·6) of all infant deaths and 4·7% (1·3-8·1) of community deaths. INTERPRETATION: RSV was a major seasonal cause of overall infant mortality, particularly among infants younger than 3 months of age. Because most RSV deaths occurred in the community and would have been missed through hospital-based surveillance, the global burden of fatal RSV has probably been underestimated. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Respiratory Syncytial Virus-attributable Deaths in a Major Pediatric Hospital in New South Wales, Australia, 1998-2018.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a leading cause of acute lower respiratory tract infection and an important contributor to child mortality. In this study, we estimated the frequency and described the clinical features of RSV-attributable deaths in Australian children. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study of RSV-associated deaths in hospitalized children <16 years of age over a 21-year period (1998-2018) in a pediatric tertiary/quaternary referral hospital in New South Wales (NSW), Australia. RSV-associated deaths were identified, reviewed, and classified according to RSV contribution to death. For 'RSV-attributable' deaths, we estimated frequency, case fatality ratio (CFR), and population death rate. We described demographic and clinical features of cases. RESULTS: There were 20 RSV-attributable deaths. RSV was considered the primary cause of death for five cases and a contributory cause for 15 cases. The CFR among hospitalized cases was 0.2% (20/9779). The annual death rate was 0.6 per 10,000 hospitalized children. The population death rate was 1.2 (95% confidence interval 0.5-2.7) per million children <16 years of age in NSW. The median age at death was 28.7 months (interquartile range 8.8-75.0). All children had at least one medical comorbidity. Over half the deaths occurred in children ≥2 years of age (11, 55%). RSV healthcare-associated infection (RSV-HAI) was common (11, 55%). CONCLUSIONS: RSV-attributable death is infrequent in this setting. Deaths occurred exclusively in children with medical comorbidity and a high proportion were RSV-HAI. Children with medical comorbidity, including those ≥2 years of age, should be prioritized for targeted prevention of RSV disease.

Sex differences in innate anti-viral immune responses to respiratory viruses and in their clinical outcomes in a birth cohort study.

The mechanisms explaining excess morbidity and mortality in respiratory infections among males are poorly understood. Innate immune responses are critical in protection against respiratory virus infections. We hypothesised that innate immune responses to respiratory viruses may be deficient in males. We stimulated peripheral blood mononuclear cells from 345 participants at age 16 years in a population-based birth cohort with three live respiratory viruses (rhinoviruses A16 and A1, and respiratory syncytial virus) and two viral mimics (R848 and CpG-A, to mimic responses to SARS-CoV-2) and investigated sex differences in interferon (IFN) responses. IFN-α responses to all viruses and stimuli were 1.34-2.06-fold lower in males than females (P = 0.018 - < 0.001). IFN-ß, IFN-γ and IFN-induced chemokines were also deficient in males across all stimuli/viruses. Healthcare records revealed 12.1% of males and 6.6% of females were hospitalized with respiratory infections in infancy (P = 0.017). In conclusion, impaired innate anti-viral immunity in males likely results in high male morbidity and mortality from respiratory virus infections.

Viral burden and diversity in acute respiratory tract infections in hospitalized children in wet and dry zones of Sri Lanka.

The present study was done to identify the viral diversity, seasonality and burden associated with childhood acute respiratory tract infection (ARTI) in Sri Lanka. Nasopharyngeal aspirates (NPA) of hospitalized children (1 month-5 years) with ARTI were collected in 2 centers (wet and dry zones) from March 2013 to August 2014. Respiratory viral antigen detection by immunofluorescence assay (IFA) was used to identify the infecting viruses. IFA negative 100 NPA samples were tested for human metapeumovirus (hMPV), human bocavirus and corona viruses by polymerase chain reaction. Of the 443 and 418 NPAs, 37.2% and 39.4% were positive for any of the 8 different respiratory viruses tested from two centers studied. Viral co-infection was detected with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in both centers. Peak viral detection was noted in the wet zone from May-July 2013 and 2014 and in the dry zone from December-January 2014 suggesting a local seasonality for viral ARTI. RSV showed a clear seasonality with a direct correlation of monthly RSV infections with rainy days in the wet zone and an inverse correlation with temperature in both centers. The case fatality rate was 2.7% for RSV associated ARTI. The overall disability adjusted life years was 335.9 and for RSV associated ARTI it was 241.8. RSV was the commonly detected respiratory virus with an annual seasonality and distribution in rainy seasons in the dry and wet zones of Sri Lanka. Identifying the virus and seasonality will contribute to employ preventive measures and reduce the empirical use of antibiotics in resource limited settings.

New preventive strategies for respiratory syncytial virus infection in children.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections result in significant morbidity and mortality for young children worldwide. The development of preventive strategies for RSV has faced different challenges, including the legacy of the first vaccine attempt, and an incomplete understanding of the host immune response to the virus. However, promising preventive strategies against RSV are in the pipeline and their development has advanced rapidly in the past decade due in part to our improved knowledge about the structural conformation of key RSV proteins. These strategies include monoclonal antibodies and different vaccines platforms directed towards the main target populations.

Exacerbation of Influenza A Virus Disease Severity by Respiratory Syncytial Virus Co-Infection in a Mouse Model.

Influenza A virus (IAV) and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) are leading causes of childhood infections. RSV and influenza are competitive in vitro. In this study, the in vivo effects of RSV and IAV co-infection were investigated. Mice were intranasally inoculated with RSV, with IAV, or with both viruses (RSV+IAV and IAV+RSV) administered sequentially, 24 h apart. On days 3 and 7 post-infection, lung tissues were processed for viral loads and immune cell populations. Lung functions were also evaluated. Mortality was observed only in the IAV+RSV group (50% of mice did not survive beyond 7 days). On day 3, the viral loads in single-infected and co-infected mice were not significantly different. However, on day 7, the IAV titer was much higher in the IAV+RSV group, and the RSV viral load was reduced. CD4 T cells were reduced in all groups on day 7 except in single-infected mice. CD8 T cells were higher in all experimental groups except the RSV-alone group. Increased airway resistance and reduced thoracic compliance were demonstrated in both co-infected groups. This model indicates that, among all the infection types we studied, infection with IAV followed by RSV is associated with the highest IAV viral loads and the most morbidity and mortality.

Clinical outcomes of adults hospitalized for laboratory confirmed respiratory syncytial virus or influenza virus infection.

OBJECTIVES: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) can cause severe disease in adults, but far less is known than for influenza. The aim of our study was to compare the disease course of RSV infections with influenza infections among hospitalized adults. METHODS: We retrieved clinical data from an ongoing surveillance of adults hospitalized with RSV or influenza virus infection in two acute care hospitals in North-Eastern Switzerland during the winter seasons 2017/2018 and 2018/2019. Our main analysis compared the odds between RSV and influenza patients for admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) or in-hospital death within 7 days after admission. RESULTS: There were 548 patients, of whom 79 (14.4%) had an RSV and 469 (85.6%) an influenza virus infection. Both groups were similar with respect to age, sex, smoking status, nutritional state, and comorbidities. More RSV patients had an infiltrate on chest radiograph on admission (46.4% vs 29.9%, p = .007). The proportion of patients with RSV who died or were admitted to ICU within seven days after admission was 19.0% compared to 10.2% in influenza patients (p = .024). In multivariable analysis, a higher leukocyte count (adjusted OR 1.07, 95% CI 1.02-1.13, p = .013) and the presence of a pneumonic infiltrate (aOR 3.41, 95% CI 1.93-6.02) significantly increased the risk for experiencing the adverse primary outcome while the effect of the underlying viral pathogen became attenuated (aOR 1.18, 95% CI 0.58-2.41, p = .0.655). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that RSV is responsible for clinical courses at least as severe as influenza in adults. This supports the need for better guidance on diagnostic strategies as well as on preventive and therapeutic measures for hospitalized adults with RSV infection.

Surveillance of respiratory syncytial virus infections in adults, Austria, 2017 to 2019.

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) testing is generally available in most care centres, but it is rarely performed because clinicians' seldom suspect RSV to be the underlying pathogen in adults with respiratory disease. Here, we evaluate the impact of broad combined influenza/RSV testing on the clinical practice. Overall, 103 patients were tested positively for RSV. Our study indicates that positively tested patients were mostly of advanced age and suffered from chronic diseases. Mortality was significant in our cohort and higher in patients with advanced age. Further, we report a significant increase in detected RSV cases but also in detection rate. Together, these findings suggest that implementation of a combined influenza/RSV testing led to a significant increase in detection rate, supported clinicians establishing the correct diagnosis and allowed a safe and controlled handling of RSV patients.

European data sources for computing burden of (potential) vaccine-preventable diseases in ageing adults.

BACKGROUND: To guide decision-making on immunisation programmes for ageing adults in Europe, one of the aims of the Vaccines and InfecTious diseases in the Ageing popuLation (IMI2-VITAL) project is to assess the burden of disease (BoD) of (potentially) vaccine-preventable diseases ((P)VPD). We aimed to identify the available data sources to calculate the BoD of (P)VPD in participating VITAL countries and to pinpoint data gaps. Based on epidemiological criteria and vaccine availability, we prioritized (P) VPD caused by Extra-intestinal pathogenic Escherichia coli (ExPEC), norovirus, respiratory syncytial virus, Staphylococcus aureus, and pneumococcal pneumonia. METHODS: We conducted a survey on available data (e.g. incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALY), quality-adjusted life years (QALY), sequelae, antimicrobial resistance (AMR), etc.) among national experts from European countries, and carried out five pathogen-specific literature reviews by searching MEDLINE for peer-reviewed publications published between 2009 and 2019. RESULTS: Morbidity and mortality data were generally available for all five diseases, while summary BoD estimates were mostly lacking. Available data were not always stratified by age and risk group, which is especially important when calculating BoD for ageing adults. AMR data were available in several countries for S. aureus and ExPEC. CONCLUSION: This study provides an exhaustive overview of the available data sources and data gaps for the estimation of BoD of five (P) VPD in ageing adults in the EU/EAA, which is useful to guide pathogen-specific BoD studies and contribute to calculation of (P)VPDs BoD.

Letalidad en lactantes con cardiopatías congénitas hospitalizados por virus respiratorio sincicial / Case fatality in infants with congenital heart disease hospitalized for respiratory syncytial virus

INTRODUCCIÓN. Las cardiopatías congénitas son un factor de riesgo para desarrollar enfermedad severa por virus respiratorio sincicial (VRS). En Chile no se conoce la hospitalización o letalidad por esta causa. El objetivo de este estudio fue determinar la letalidad de niños menores de 2 años con cardiopatías congénitas hospitalizados por infección por VRS en el hospital de niños Roberto del Río, Santiago, Chile. MÉTODO. Estudio descriptivo retrospectivo de revisión de fichas clínicas de niños menores de 24 meses con cardiopatía congénita, hospitalizados por infección respiratoria baja por VRS. Se registró edad, género, tipo de cardiopatía congénita, comorbilidades, días de hospitalización, ingreso a unidad de paciente crítico y letalidad en Hospital Roberto del Río durante los años 2014 a 2016. Se analizaron resultados mediante Stata 13. Aprobado por Comité de ética del Servicio de Salud Metropolitano Norte RESULTADOS: Se estudian 94 pacientes hospitalizados, mediana de edad de 7,3 meses, 45 (48%) hombres. Los casos de cardiopatía congénita cianótica fueron 7 (7,4%), obstructivas izquierdas 3 (3,2%) y no obstructivas 84 (89,3%). Las comorbilidades fueron: 17 (18,08%) trisomía 21, 10 (10,6%) patología neurológica, 6 (6,38%) reflujo gastroesofágico. Sin comorbilidad 48 pacientes (51,06%). La mediana de hospitalización es 8 días y la necesidad de ventilación mecánica de 1 día, siendo mayor en las cianóticas. Requieren ingreso a unidad de paciente crítico 49 (52,12%). La letalidad fue de un 8,5%. CONCLUSIÓN: La morbimortalidad de la infección por VRS observada en pacientes con cardiópatas congénitas es elevada, por lo que la prevención con anticuerpos monoclonales podría tener impacto. En el 2019 Chile implementa el uso de anticuerpos monoclonales anti VRS en niños con cardiopatías congénitas por lo que será interesante medir el impacto de esta medida.

INTRODUCTION. Congenital heart disease is a risk factor for developing severe disease due to respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). In Chile the rate of hospitalization or lethality due to this cause is not known. The objective of this study was to determine lethality of infants with congenital heart disease hospitalized for RSV infection. METHOD. Retrospective descriptive study, through review of clinical records of infants under 24 months with congenital heart disease, hospitalized due to low RSV respiratory infection. We recorded age, gender, type of congenital heart disease, comorbidities, days of hospitalization, admission to a critical patient unit and lethality in Roberto del Río Hospital between 2014 to 2016. The research had approved bay the ethical Comitee Servicio de Salud Metropolitano Norte. Results were analyzed through Stata 13. RESULTS. 94 hospitalized patients were studied, median age of 7.3 months, 45 (48%) men. The cases of congenital cyanotic heart disease were 7 (7.4%), left obstructive 3 (3.2%) and non-obstructive 84 (89.3%). The comorbidities were: 17 (18.08%) trisomy 21, 10 (10.6%) neurological pathology, 6 (6.38%) gastroesophageal reflux and 48 patients (51.06%) did not present. The hospitalization median is 8 days and the need for 1-day mechanical ventilation is greater in cyanotic patients. They require admission to the critical patient unit 49 (52.12%). The lethality is 8.5%. CONCLUSION: The lethality of RSV infection observed in patients with congenital heart disease is high. In 2019 Chile implemented the use of RSV monoclonal antibodies congenital heart disease. New studies are needed to measure the impact of this new policy. Keywords: congenital heart disease, respiratory syncytial virus

Mortality in children hospitalised with respiratory syncytial virus infection in Singapore.

INTRODUCTION: This study aimed to investigate the trend and seasonality of infection due to respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) at KK Women's and Children's Hospital (KKH) in Singapore and to examine the risk factors for mortality among children with RSV infection requiring admission to the paediatric intensive care unit (PICU). METHODS: A retrospective study was conducted at KKH on children with RSV infections who were admitted to the PICU between January 2004 and December 2010. The medical records of children who died from RSV infections were reviewed. Linear regression was performed to determine the risk factors for RSV mortality. RESULTS: RSV infection was documented in 5,785 children during the study period; the infection was noted to be occurring throughout the year, with a small increase in prevalence between the months of June and August every year. Among 85 (1.5%) out of 5,785 children who were admitted to the PICU for RSV infection, 74 (1.3%) survived and 11 (0.2%) died. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that haemodynamically significant cardiac disease (odds ratio [OR] 12.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.9-16.7, p = 0.05), immunodeficiency (OR 71.4, 95% CI 8.2-500, p < 0.001) and metabolic disease (OR 71.4, 95% CI 4.3-1,000, p = 0.003) were independent risk factors for mortality in RSV infections. Prematurity increased the risk of admission to the PICU but was not significantly associated with mortality. CONCLUSION: Children with haemodynamically significant cardiac disease, immunodeficiency and metabolic disease were at higher risk of death after hospitalisation for RSV-related illnesses. These children should be considered for palivizumab prophylaxis.

Morbidity and mortality of respiratory syncytial virus infection in hospitalized adults: Comparison with seasonal influenza.

INTRODUCTION: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is considered a major pathogen that causes acute influenza-like illness. The objective of this study was to compare the clinical outcomes of patients with laboratory-confirmed RSV and patients with influenza infection. METHODS: Adults hospitalized in Beilinson Hospital (October 2017-April 2018) with laboratory-confirmed RSV or influenza were included. The primary outcome was the composite of RSV/influenza complications: 30-day mortality, pneumonia, mechanical ventilation, vasopressor support, intensive care unit admission, and myocarditis/encephalitis. Secondary outcomes were individual components of the primary outcome, 90-day mortality, 90-day readmission, and length of hospital stay. RESULTS: A total of 639 patients with RSV (n = 113) and influenza (n = 526) were included. The composite primary outcome was 21.4% (136/633), and was higher in RSV patients (30% (34/113) vs 19% (102/526), p = 0.002). Pneumonia was more common in RSV patients (21.2% (24/113) vs 9.1% (48/526), p = 0.001). On multivariable analysis, hypoalbuminemia (odds ratio (OR) 3.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.1-5.3, p < 0.001), reduced room-air saturation (OR 1.1, 95% CI 1.02-1.1, p = 0.001), and infection with RSV (OR 1.67, 95% CI 1.01-2.76, p = 0.046) were predictors of complications. CONCLUSIONS: RSV infection in hospitalized adults resulted in serious respiratory illness with complications that are comparable to those caused by influenza.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes in adult patients hospitalized with influenza, respiratory syncytial virus and human metapneumovirus infections.

Objectives: To compare the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients hospitalized with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), human metapneumovirus (hMPV), and influenza infections.Methods: This study prospectively enrolled 594 patients hospitalized with influenza-like illness (ILI) and laboratory-confirmed RSV, hMPV, or influenza infections over three consecutive influenza seasons at a tertiary hospital in China.Results: While certain clinical features were of value as predictors of infection type, none exhibited good predictive performance as a means of discriminating between these three infections (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve < 0.70). After controlling for potential confounding variables, RSV infections in pneumonia patients were found to be associated with a 30-day mortality risk comparable to that of influenza patients [odds ratio (OR) 1.016, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.267-3.856, p = 0.982], whereas hMPV infection was associated with a reduced risk of mortality (OR 0.144, 95% CI 0.027-0.780, p = 0.025). Among those without pneumonia, the 30-day mortality risk in patients with influenza was comparable to that in patients infected with RSV (OR 1.268, 95% CI 0.172-9.355, p = 0.816) or hMPV (OR 1.128, 95% CI 0.122-10.419, p = 0.916).Conclusion: Disease severity associated with these three types of viral infection was inconsistent when comparing patients with and without pneumonia, highlighting the importance of etiologic testing.

How lethal is SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia when compared with respiratory syncytial virus and influenza in young children?

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: SARS-CoV-2 is known to cause milder disease in children when compared with adults, but the extent of this is unclear. The aim of this article is to estimate the case fatality rate (CFR) for SARS-CoV-2 infection and SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia in young children aged <5 years, and compare this with estimated CFRs for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and influenza. METHOD: This article reviews published case series of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the paediatric population and epidemiological data on COVID-19 published on official government websites internationally and in Australia. RESULTS: The CFR of SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia in children aged <5 years is estimated to be 0.15-1.35%, which is lower than the estimated CFR of RSV pneumonia of 0.3-2.1%, but higher than the estimated CFR of influenza pneumonia of 0.14-0.45%. DISCUSSION: SARS-CoV-2 infection is likely to be less lethal than RSV in children aged <5 years, but more lethal than influenza.

Unveiling the Risk Period for Death After Respiratory Syncytial Virus Illness in Young Children Using a Self-Controlled Case Series Design.

BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-related acute lower respiratory infection is an important cause of death in infants and young children. However, little is known about the risk period for RSV-related deaths after presentation to health services with an RSV illness. METHODS: Using the Scottish national mortality database, we identified deaths from respiratory/circulatory causes (hereafter "respiratory/circulatory deaths") in young children aged <5 years during 2009-2016, whose medical history and records of laboratory-confirmed RSV infections were obtained by linking the mortality database to the national surveillance data set and the Scottish Morbidity Record. We used a self-controlled case series (SCCS) design to evaluate the relative incidence of deaths with respiratory/circulatory deaths in the first year after an RSV episode. We defined the risk interval as the first year after the RSV episode, and the control interval as the period before and after the risk interval until 5 years after birth. Age-adjusted incidence ratio and attributable fraction were generated using the R software package SCCS. RESULTS: We included 162 respiratory/circulatory deaths, of which 36 occurred in children with a history of laboratory-confirmed RSV infection. We found that the mortality risk decreased with time after the RSV episode and that the risk was statistically significant for the month after RSV illness. More than 90% of respiratory/circulatory deaths occurring within 1 week after the RSV episode were attributable to RSV (attributable fraction, 93.9%; 95% confidence interval, 77.6%-98.4%), compared with about 80% of those occurring 1 week to 1 month after RSV illness (80.3%; 28.5%-94.6%). CONCLUSIONS: We found an increased risk of death in the first month after an RSV illness episode leading to healthcare attendance. This provides a practical cutoff time window for community-based surveillance studies estimating RSV-related mortality risk. Further studies are warranted to assess the mortality risk beyond the first month after RSV illness episode.